Key Metrics
Pass Rate — fraction of plays that are pass attempts (includes sacks and scrambles)
EPA — Expected Points Added per play; measures how much a play improved scoring expectation
DQS — Decision Quality Score; weighted percentage of plays where the coach chose the EPA-optimal call (run or pass)
EPA Left on Table — total EPA gap on plays where the coach chose the non-optimal call
Stubbornness — how often the coach chose the inferior call when the EPA gap was large (>0.1)
Winnable Rate — percentage of losses where the margin was less than the EPA left on the table that game
Baseline — pooled 1999–2025 historical EPA by game state (down, distance, field position, score, half)
How the Game Has Changed
Run / Pass Split (1999 – 2025)
Above 50% = pass-heavyBelow 50% = rush-heavy
EPA by Play Type
Team Rankings
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